The global FDI trend improved in 2021 and its flows increased 28% Q1 2022 compared to Q4 2021, reaching US$535 billion.
At a year-on-year rate, global FDI flows increased 15% compared to the first quarter of 2021.
However, the WTO stated that the outlook remains uncertain given the current geopolitical context.
FDI earnings recorded a significant rebound in 2021, especially in OECD countries.
Earnings remained elevated in Q1 2022, contributing to the upward trend in FDI inflows.
G20 FDI inflows by instrument, Q1 2015 – Q1 2022 (USD billion)
Fewer of these profits were distributed to foreign parent companies, resulting in higher levels of reinvested profits.
Capital flows also contributed to the increase, although this was unevenly distributed across the various Group of 20 (G20) economies.
Much of this increase was associated with Australia, which experienced record inflows and outflows of FDI, reflecting intensified M&A activity in the first quarter of 2022.
Intra-firm debt flows reached positive levels in G20 economies, but their impact on total FDI flows remained limited.
Cross-border investment activity in G20 economies
Although new investment activity was generally strong in 2021, the outlook for 2022 remains uncertain due to the war in Ukraine.
Announcements of new greenfield projects in emerging and developing economies -reflecting trends in new capital spending on productive capacity- were contained.
The latest data on greenfield investment projects announced by the Financial Times fDI Markets database shows signs of recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic for some economies.
In H1 2022, total capital spending increased 7% in G20 economies compared to H2 2021.
At the sectoral level, the largest increase in capital expenditures was observed in manufacturing and services (by 21% and 14%, respectively).
However, in H1 2022, the value of new investment projects announced in infrastructure declined 10%, and in extractive industries (mainly coal, oil and gas) fell 71% compared to the previous half-year.