Global avocado demand will continue to open up business opportunities in producing countries, according to FAO and OECD projections for 2033.
In Mexico, the main producer and exporter of this fruit, avocado exports grew at a year-on-year rate of 29.7% in the first four months of 2025, to US$1.664 billion.
Four out of every 10 avocados exported worldwide originate from Mexico, measured in terms of value.
Inegi data show that foreign sales of Mexican avocados totaled 3.787 billion dollars in 2024.
Global avocado demand
Avocado exports to the world increased from US$3.0 billion in 2014 to US$9.6 billion in 2024, according to WTO data.
Ample global demand, high profitability per hectare and lucrative export unit prices remain the main drivers of this growth, spurring investment in the expansion of cultivated area in both major and emerging production areas.
Therefore, by 2033, production is projected to grow 3.5 % annually and reach 14 million tons per year, more than triple the 2013 level.
Mexico leads the world in avocado production thanks to favorable growing conditions, improved agricultural practices, and its proximity to the United States, the world’s leading avocado importer.
The USDA projects that Mexican avocado production will increase in 2025, driven primarily by strong export demand and growing domestic consumption. Production in 2025 is forecast to increase 3% year-over-year, reaching 2.75 million tons, and exports will grow 5% compared to 2024, reaching 1.34 million tons.
Growing production
FAO and OECD highlight that avocado has the lowest production level among major tropical fruits, but has experienced the fastest expansion in recent decades and is forecast to remain the fastest growing during the outlook period to 2033.
Other leading exporters of this fruit are Peru (with a world share of 13%), the Netherlands (12.9%), Spain (4.8%), Morocco (3.3%) and Colombia (3.2%), considering 2024 data.