The trend in Mexican agricultural exports marked the end of an upward cycle in 2025, according to data from Inegi.
Mexican sales of these products fell at a year-on-year rate of 10.8% in 2025, to 20.97 billion dollars.
Mexico exports agricultural goods such as tomatoes, avocados, beef, peppers, coffee, pork, citrus fruits, melons, watermelons and strawberries to the world.
Trend in Mexican agricultural exports
Before the decline, Mexican agricultural exports rose from $18.683 billion to $23.355 billion.
Considering only Mexico’s agricultural exports, they broke a 15-year streak of uninterrupted year-on-year growth rates.
Mexican fruit exports registered a 5.1% increase in volume, reaching 4.09 million metric tonnes. However, the value fell 6.8% to $9.201 billion, despite higher shipments of pineapple, guava, berries, bananas, and papaya.
In vegetables, the volume exported decreased by 1.2% to 6.70 million metric tonnes, while the value fell by 6.2% to 5.704 billion dollars. There were increases in volume for watermelon, carrots, melon and courgette, and in value only for melon, chillies and cauliflower.
The following table shows the trend in Mexican agricultural exports, in millions of dollars:
- 2020: 18,683.
- 2021: 19,668.
- 2022: 21,398.
- 2023: 21,784.
- 2024: 23,355.
- 2025: 20,970.
Water stress
Mexico recorded lower external sales of live cattle due to the presence of the New World corn borer, compensatory quotas on tomatoes, and water stress conditions. These factors had a direct impact on the recent performance of agricultural exports.
In this context, the United States Department of Agriculture predicts that the suspension of imports of live cattle, horses, and bison from Mexico will increase domestic demand for feed. More cattle will remain in the country for fattening.
On 14 April 2025, the US Department of Commerce announced its withdrawal from the 2019 Anti-Dumping Suspension Agreement on Fresh Tomatoes from Mexico, with effective termination within 90 days.
Following the termination of the agreement, anti-dumping duties of 20.91% were imposed on most Mexican tomato imports as of 14 July 2025. The USDA anticipates a reduction in investment and planting, especially in the autumn-winter cycle.