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Pierde mayoría de divisas frente al dólar

El peso cerró con una depreciación semanal de 0.17% o 3.2 centavos, cotizando alrededor de 18.62 pesos por dólar, ante un regreso de la aversión al riesgo a los mercados financieros globales, situación que elevó la demanda por activos libres de riesgo y ocasionó un debilitamiento de las materias primas y de los mercados de capitales.

Foto: Pixabay. El peso cerró con una depreciación semanal de 0.17% o 3.2 centavos.

Foto: Pixabay. El peso cerró con una depreciación semanal de 0.17% o 3.2 centavos.

Al cierre de la semana, la tasa de rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 10 años acumuló un retroceso de 5.8 puntos base, colocándose en 1.64%, haciendo un evidente un incremento en la demanda por instrumentos del Tesoro.

Mientras tanto, el oro cerró con una ganancia semanal de 2.43%, cotizando alrededor de 1,274.43 dólares por onza. No obstante, los energéticos cerraron a la baja. En la última sesión de la semana,  el WTI cerró con una pérdida de 3.3%, cotizando alrededor de 48.95 dólares por barril, como consecuencia del fortalecimiento del dólar.

El nerviosismo del mercado durante las últimas dos sesiones de la semana y la depreciación acelerada del peso, se deben a que los inversionistas se están cubriendo de escenarios que propician una mayor volatilidad. La semana entrante se publicarán los anuncios de política monetaria de la Reserva Federal, el Banco de Japón y el Banco de Inglaterra. Asimismo, el evento que más preocupa a los mercados es el referéndum de Reino Unido del 23 de junio, en donde se decidirá su permanencia o salida de la Unión Europea.

El tema del referéndum del 23 de junio generó nerviosismo particularmente durante la sesión del viernes. La mayoría de las divisas ya mostraban pérdidas frente al dólar durante la mañana, las cuales se aceleraron por la tarde con la publicación de una encuesta privada en donde se muestra que el 55% de la muestra preferiría un “Brexit”, mientras 45% optaba por seguir siendo parte de la Unión Europea.

Las declaraciones de Janet Yellen acerca de las repercusiones negativas del Brexit y los comentarios de Wolfgang Schaeuble, Ministro de Finanzas de Alemania, quien señaló que oficiales de la Eurozona se están preparando para dicho evento, también acentuaron la aversión al riesgo durante la semana. En la sesión del viernes, el peso cerró con una depreciación de 2.06% o 37.6 centavos, luego de tocar un nuevo máximo desde febrero de 18.7455 pesos por dólar.

Durante la semana, el peso tocó un mínimo de 18.0779 y un máximo de 18.7455 pesos por dólar. Por su parte, el euro alcanzó un mínimo de 1.1246 y un máximo de 1.1416 dólares por euro. Por su parte, el euro-peso alcanzó un mínimo de 20.5843 y un máximo de 21.2520 pesos por euro en las cotizaciones interbancarias a la venta.

A las 3:15 p.m. las cotizaciones interbancarias a la venta se ubicaron en 18.6284 pesos por dólar, 1.4264 dólares por libra y en 1.1256 dólares por euro.

Gabriela Siller; PhD
Director de Análisis Económico-Financiero.
Banco BASE

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